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Thursday, November 19, 2009

NFL Sunday Night Football Betting - Indianapolis Colts Vs. Baltimore Ravens

NFL Sunday Night Football Betting - Indianapolis Colts Vs. Baltimore Ravens

In the NFL Football betting lines, Few bookies listed the Colts a one-point favorite, with a posted total of 44.5 points.

Here are some NFL football betting trends as they relate to this matchup:

* IND has won its last 18 regular season games SU
* IND has covered five of its last six road games
* IND has won eight of its last nine road games SU
* BALT has covered 17 of its last 23 games
* BALT has won 16 of its last 23 games SU
* BALT has lost four of its last six games SU
* BALT has played four of its last five games UNDER the total
* BALT has won and covered four of its last five home games
* BALT has played six of its last seven home games UNDER the total

Also...

* IND has won the last six meetings SU
* IND has covered the last five meetings
* Five of the last six meetings have gone UNDER the total
* Five of the last seven meetings in Baltimore have gone OVER the total


Last year it got ugly for this Ravens team, when it visited Lucas Oil Stadium. Peyton Manning threw for 258 yards, Joe Flacco threw three interceptions, and the Ravens turned it over five times overall as they were smashed by a 31-3 count.

Certainly they are seeking revenge, and they have favorable scheduling conditions too. Indianapolis Colts is coming off that dramatic 35-34 victory over the Patriots, aided by the bonehead call by Bill Belichick to go for a first down on fourth-and-one from his own 28-yard line.

That was quite a draining game for Manning and the Colts, while on the other side, Baltimore Ravens may have had one eye on this one as it coasted to a 16-0 win over the hapless Browns.

The offense was choppy for the Ravens on Monday night, but it's been part of a pattern. They gained only 274 yards, which makes it three straight games that they have tallied less than 300 yards. That would seem to make it difficult to trade points with the Colts, although interestingly enough, in the yards-per-point category, Indianapolis is at 14.3, while Baltimore has shown itself to actually be more efficient overall, at 14.1.

There was no question that Tom Brady was able to exploit the holes in the Indianapolis secondary, which was missing three of its starters Sunday night due to injury. Brady threw for 375 yards and three scores. Matt Schaub had 311 yards the week before. Is Joe Flacco that capable, and does he have the set of receivers to make it happen? Flacco has thrown for over 300 yards three times this season, though of course, he hasn't done in any of the last three games. There wasn't a lot of sharpness out there against the Browns.

Indianapolis, a team that has pulled off big victories plenty of times in the recent past, and Manning, who is as cool a customer as exists, aren't as likely to suffer the "letdown" as most teams would, especially with an undefeated record and home field advantage in the playoffs well within their sights.

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