Wednesday, January 20, 2010
NFL Draft 2010 NFL 2010 Drafts
Although a record-tying 53 players declared for early entry, that number released yesterday by the NFL was short of projections. "I think that the colleges have really done a good job of telling these young men how it is to their advantage to stay in school," said NFL draft consultant Gil Brandt. With a potential rookie wage scale in the next collective bargaining agreement, more juniors were expected to declare.
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Six All-Americans did apply: defensive backs Eric Berry of Tennessee and Joe Haden of Florida; defensive end Derrick Morgan of Georgia Tech; tight end Aaron Hernandez of Florida; linebacker Rolando McClain of Alabama; and wide receiver Golden Tate of Notre Dame. Mississippi QB Jevan Snead, Notre Dame QB Jimmy Clausen, Southern California running back Joe McKnight and Penn State linebacker Navorro Bowman also declared early for April's draft.
The 53 players match the previous high in 2008; last year, 46 declared. Brandt said: "If you are good enough, you will get it (the money) anyway. This way, you get to enjoy your senior year and get that diploma."
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NFL Playoff Power Rankings
1. Peyton Manning, Colts — Enough about the lack of multiple Super Bowl
bling. Give him time, and the NFL's king of commercials should match up with history's best quarterbacks just fine in the jewelry department. By the time he's finished his playing days and coaching up his own little Mannings, he may own every passing record in the book — even all of Brett Favre's prodigious numbers, including Mr. Wrangler's Iron-Man streak of consecutive starts.
THE REST:
2. Brett Favre, Vikings — Having his best season ever, finally controlling his gambling urges at age 40.
3. Drew Brees, Saints — The hero to all with unusual birthmarks, all the inspirational Brees is missing is a title.
4. Mark Sanchez, Jets — No 23-year-old should be able to handle his success and the Big Apple madness with such ease.
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MORE ON THE QBs ...
* Best arm/long ball — Brett Favre, Vikings: Even at his age, Favre can still sling it with the best of 'em.
* Most accurate — Drew Brees, Saints: Can't argue here, since he set the NFL's all-time single-season record for completion percentage.
* Best at reading defenses — Peyton Manning, Colts: Some joke that he's the real coach of the Colts.
* Best pocket presence — Peyton Manning, Colts: Threw the most passes in the NFL, yet was sacked the fewest amount of times.
* Best charisma — Brett Favre, Vikings: All four have moxie, but Favre wins for not being ashamed to throw his Wranglers on the ground.
* Most likely to throw an INT at the worst time — Mark Sanchez, Jets: Avoiding the big picks lately, but he's still a rookie.
* Best overall passing game — Saints: Hard to pick one among the Saints/Colts/Vikes trio, but New Orleans is loaded with X factors.
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Tuesday, January 19, 2010
Former Chief Allen is a big hit in Minnesota
Step off the plane, and there’s Allen’s purple Vikings jersey hanging on the wall at the security checkpoint. Walk past Mall of America Field, and a poster of Allen’s menacing visage stares from the stadium walls.
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Tune in Thursday nights and listen to his weekly radio show, or turn on the television and watch him pop on as a guest on the Vikings’ weekly television program.
Jared Allen owns this town.
“That’s Jared,” said fellow defensive end Ray Edwards. “He’s a lovable guy.”
Allen added to his popularity as the Vikings reached this week’s NFC championship game at New Orleans with their 34-3 pulverizing of the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday.
Allen helped spark the win with his sack and strip of Dallas quarterback Tony Romo — one of six sacks by the Vikings — as he enjoyed the first playoff win of his NFL career.
“It took a while to get one,” said Allen, who was part of playoff losses with the Chiefs at Indianapolis in 2006 and with the Vikings against Philadelphia last season. “But we finally did and got it in a big way.
“It’s all perspective. This is just one. The only way to go out on a winning streak is to win the Super Bowl. So if you lose the next one, it doesn’t really matter, does it?”
Allen, for the second consecutive season, finished the regular season with 14 1/2 sacks, second in the NFL. But 7 1/2 of those sacks came in two games against Green Bay, and he had just two sacks in the final five games.
Still, the Vikings led the NFL with 48 sacks for the season, and the ability to get to Romo so often was critical in the win over the Cowboys — and will be equally as important against New Orleans’ Drew Brees this week.
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Parity worked in the NFL...now, let's see if the NFL likes it
There have been eight games played so far, and a grand total of two of them have been competitive.
Take away the Cardinals-Packers game in the wild-card round and the Jets-Chargers game in the Divisional round on Sunday, and the other six games were decided by an average of a shade more than 21 points per game. That's three touchdowns and three point after tries (assuming Nate Kaeding isn't kicking them).
Take away the Jets' two upsets, and the favorites have won five of six.
The Patriots are gone. The Cowboys are gone. The Eagles are gone. The Packers are gone. And tradition is gone, too. What we're left with are four teams who, combined, have won one Super Bowl in the last 39 years.
The entire West Divisions in both leagues are gone, which leaves CBS and FOX with no media markets west of Minneapolis with a dog in the fight the rest of the way.
But, of course, this is what the NFL wanted.
This is parity.
Now, none of this is to say that there aren't some pretty good football teams moving on to the conference championship games Sunday. There are. There's probably no argument that the Saints and Vikings were the two most consistent, most polished teams in the NFC from September until now. And the Colts had a great chance to be unbeaten right now had they not taken their foot off the proverbial gas pedal after week 15. So, you can argue that the three best teams the NFL had to offer this season are still playing, along with the Jets, who run the ball and play defense better than any of them.
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So this isn't a column about how the best teams aren't going to be competing for a spot in Super Bowl XLIV.
They're just, well, different teams.
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Vikes-Saints battle it out for NFL NFC Title Odds 2010 NFL Playoff Schedule
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NFL Playoff Predictions The Saints will have no answer for a balanced offensive team like the Vikings. In the end, the Vikings will win by a td. The line has opened for the NFC championship between the New Orleans Saints and the Minnesota Vikings and the Saints are NFL Odds 4.5-point home faves — the Total is set at 52.5 NFL Playoff Odds.
Seeded No. 1 overall in the NFC, New Orleans was able to capitalize on home-field advantage on Saturday, defeating the NFC West champion Arizona Cardinals by a final of 45-14, more than adequately covering the 7-point spread.
The Vikings were the second-best team in the conference and they also won at home, defeating the Dallas Cowboys 34-3. Minnesota was favored by a field goal and easily covered. Also NFL Point Spread Odds AFC Championship Indianapolis -7.5 favorites. 2010 NFL Playoff Schedule Sunday, January 24, 2010 Minnesota at New Orleans 6:40 PM ET.
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NFL: San Diego extends Norv Turner's contract
No financial details were announced for the deal that came one day after the Chargers were shocked, 17-14, by the New York Jets in the AFC divisional playoffs.
Turner's regular-season record with the Chargers is 32-16, but he is 3-3 in the playoffs. His overall record as an NFL head coach is 90-98-1.
Vikes' Edwards ailing. Minnesota coach Brad Childress declined to elaborate on the extent of an injury to Vikings defensive end Ray Edwards, who appeared to hurt his right knee in the third quarter Sunday's against Dallas. He returned for a few plays, then was done for the day.
Childress said Edwards is "a tough guy," and if he is able, he'll play against New Orleans this Sunday.
Edwards said after the game that he should be fine.
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Main Favre gets better with age
I did not particularly like the way the former Green Bay star engineered his release from the New York Jets before conveniently signing with the Vikings once most of the preseason training was out of the way, but that was not my primary concern. I just felt a guy who had physically broken down at the back end of the previous season was not going to be in the right kind of form to lead a Super Bowl run in January.
To say I was a little bit off the mark would be an understatement.
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Tuesday, January 12, 2010
NFL Betting Tips for the 2009-2010 Playoffs
All the winning teams this weekend were able to run the ball and outgained their rivals in that department, something that at first looked overrated, especially if you consider that this has become a passing league. NFL Live Odds on NFL 2010 Playoffs at Sportsbetting.com
For example, in the first game of the weekend both teams ran a total of 171 yards, the Jets beat the Bengals because they were able to establish the run first and then got some room for Mark Sanchez to make some key plays. As you can see, the main factor was the run.
The same thing happened in the Dallas - Philly game, the Cowboys outgained the Eagles 198-56 in rushing yards, they ran the ball and tired out the opponents defense using good ole’ old school football.
The New England – Baltimore match was a perfect example on how a playoff game was played back in the day and how you should face an opponent in cold weather. The Ravens crushed the Patriots in the running department, 234 rushing yards against 64; they were able to bag an easy win. Check out NFL Live Odds on NFL 2010 Playoffs at Sportsbetting.com
John Harbaugh knew that in this weather throwing the ball was going to be a bit hard so they decided to go through the ground, and with two really good backs like Rice and McGahee it was a safe bet.
Now before you go and start betting for the team with the best backs, there is one major factor you need to keep in mind the rest of the way to the Super Bowl. The weather it won’t be a factor anymore. Make your bets with NFL Live Odds on NFL 2010 Playoffs at Sportsbetting.com
Three of the upcoming 4 games will be played in a dome and the other one will be during warm weather, so we can expect matches with big passing games.
The reason people say that you have to run the ball this time of year is because of the cold weather that directly affects the passing game, it’s something that we are going to see only if Baltimore and New York knock out San Diego and Indianapolis and the chances of both teams advancing don’t look so good.
Also consider that the four top seeded teams have huge QB figures and their offense relies on the passing game. Peyton Manning, Phillip Rivers, Brett Favre and Drew Brees all had over 4,000 passing yards in the regular season. Do you think a rushing offense will be a factor against a team that could strike you with a long TD any given play? I don’t think so. NFL Live Odds on NFL 2010 Playoffs at Sportsbetting.com
All of them also have plenty of playmakers in the receiving department and tend to make very few mistakes throwing the ball, all reasons why you shouldn’t expect the run to be a major factor this week.
Wednesday, December 16, 2009
Indianapolis Colts Vs Jacksonville Jaguars – Thursday Night Football
Will the 13-0 Indianapolis Colts opt for safety over perfection on Thursday Night NFL in Jacksonville Jaguars? Indy has clinched top-spot in the conference and the AFC South and home-field throughout the postseason and there has been some suggestion that the team could rest its starters.
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The Colts say they will play their starters on Thursday, for part of the game at least. “We’re going to approach the 14th game exactly like we did one through 13,” Indy head coach Jim Caldwell told The Indianapolis Star.
“We’ve got a great rhythm in terms of our preparation and we’re going to go out and play it just like we have done the previous 13.”
While undefeated Indianapolis is 7-3 SU in its last 10 overall against Jacksonville, it is also 3-7 ATS. The game is currently off the board. Both the Indianapolis Colts and New Orleans Saints are currently sitting at 13-0 SU and could very well go 16-0.
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The Colts are listed at +190 to go undefeated during the regular season while the Saints are -130.
Cards’ Fitzgerald Uncertain For Sunday
According to The Arizona Republic, Fitzgerald had an MRI which revealed “a bone bruise and a sprained right knee,” although there is said to be no structural damage.
The team will make a decision on his status this week and Arizona is a big 12-point road faves for the Detroit Lions game.
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The Cardinals are 7-3 SU and ATS in their last 10 overall games against the Lions and have taken the Over eight times in those 10 games.
The WR suffered the injuries in a 24-9 road loss to the San Francisco 49ers on Monday night — the Cards failed to cover at -3.
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Wednesday, December 9, 2009
NFL Picks: For the Upcoming Week 14 NFL
Perennial pre-season favourites Pittsburgh and New England aren’t at the centre of the playoff discussion with just four weeks of regular-season football remaining. It’s certainly not the type of claim — regarding these two organizations — we’re used to hearing at this time of year.
Much can change in a short period of time, but you can mark this one down: if the Steelers (at 6-6) don’t guzzle the Browns on Thursday, their season is done.
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Tom Brady and his Patriots (7-5) have a little more rope, but not a full coil. New England’s advantage could be the schedule. In the final two weeks, the Patriots face Jacksonville and Houston, two teams they’ll likely need to beat out to land a wild-card slot if they can’t harness the AFC East title.
• THURSDAY
Pittsburgh (6-6) at Cleveland (1-11) (+9.5)
The Steelers surrendered 396 yards-combined to Oakland last week. Defensive co-ordinator Dick LeBeau is legendary at making the right adjustments and history tells us to ride his coattails and QB Ben Roethlisberger’s arm when the season’s on the line. Take the Steelers.
• SUNDAY
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New Orleans (12-0) at Atlanta (6-6) (+10.5)
How bad does Drew Brees have it? He takes his air show onto the immaculate carpet and conditions at the Georgia Dome seven days after ripping up the turf in Washington with 419 yards. Can we at least hit 500 this week? Brees leads the NFL in passer rating (111.3) and TDs (29) and faces the fourth-worst pass defence in the league. Take the Saints.
Green Bay (8-4) at Chicago (5-7) (+3)
Wasn’t it Chicago that was supposed the have the dominating defence? The Packers are fourth against the run and fifth against the pass. Since the Bears can’t do either (watch the logic kick in here folks …), take the Packers.
St. Louis (1-11) at Tennessee (5-7) (-12.5)
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According to Accuscore, a simulator that forecasts the probability of teams winning games, the Titans have a nine per cent chance of making the playoffs. Miraculous comebacks don’t come around often and that loss to Indy last week likely ended things for Tennessee. They’ll take it out on the Rams this weekend. Take the Titans.
Denver (8-4) at Indianapolis (12-0) (-7)
Nice bounce-back shown by the Broncos the past two weeks after dropping four in a row. Denver faces a Colts team that astounds, given the injuries. Indianapolis has Peyton, but they’ve also dug up a good running attack led by Joseph Addai (two TDs last week). Take the Colts.
Buffalo (4-8) at Kansas City (3-9) (+1)
How meaningful is this one? Well for one participant, not really. Terrell Owens signed with a modelling agency this week to go with his reality show and breakfast cereal. "When you’ve got some good looks like myself, you’ve got to take full advantage of it," the sometime focused Bills receiver said. There’s no catwalk in KC. Take the Chiefs.
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Cincinnati (9-3) at Minnesota (10-2) (-6.5)
The Bengals have underwhelmed lately. The Vikings need a rebound game after losing convincingly to Arizona. Take the Vikings.
Carolina (5-7) at New England (7-5) (-13)
Pats have dropped three of four and might be reeling, but Carolina is one soft spot New England can land on. Take the Patriots.
NY Jets (6-6) at Tampa Bay (1-11) (+3)
Rookie QB Mark Sanchez (sprained knee) sits and Kellen Clemens takes his spot. Tough break for the Jets, who’ve won two straight but the offence has dried up. Expect to see a lot of RB Thomas Jones, which should be enough against the league’s second-worst run stop. Take the Jets.
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Miami (6-6) at Jacksonville (7-5) (-3)
Huge win for the Jags last week against Houston; ditto for Miami against the Pats. The Jags’ schedule down the stretch (Indy, at New England) is a brute and any hope for a wild card rests with a must-win at home this week. Take the Jaguars.
Detroit (2-10) at Baltimore (6-6) (-13)
The Ravens move forward after a trio of tough games (Indianapolis, Pittsburgh and Green Bay). There’s no chance of a letdown Sunday with an opportunity to improve the playoff chances. RB Ray Rice is a great fantasy play. Take the Ravens.
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Seattle (5-7) at Houston (5-7) (-6)
Rumblings have Houston coach Gary Kubiak in trouble and this is desperation time for a Texans team that should be playing better. Neither team has much of a run game, meaning Matt Schaub versus Matt Hasselbeck. Take Schaub; take the Texans.
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Wednesday, November 25, 2009
Thursday Night Football : New York Giants Vs Denver Broncos Live Streaming NFL Week 12
Line: Giants -6.5
Over/Under: 42
NFL Betting : Giants
- The Giants are 0-5 ATS in their past five games overall.
- New York is 13-3 ATS in its past 16 road games vs. teams with a winning record at home.
- The Giants are 4-1 ATS on the road when laying between -3.5 and -10 points.
- New York Giants are 8-2 ATS as a road favorite of any number.
- After giving up 30-plus points the Giants have a record of 7-2 ATS.
- New York has a record of 12 overs, 3 unders and 1 push in their last 16 games after giving up 30-plus points.
- The Giants have a record of 1 over, 3 unders and 1 push as a favorite between -3.5 points and -10 points.
- New York Giants last eight games as a road fav of any number have produced 5 overs, 2 unders and 1 push.
NFL Betting : Broncos
- Denver is 8-3-1 ATS when getting points at home.
- Denver is 0-5 ATS in the past five games that followed a straight-up loss.
- Denver has played no overs, 4 unders and 1 push the past five times they have been a home dog.
- The last 11 games at Denver have produced 0 overs, 10 unders and 1 push overall.
- Denver has played 2 overs and 6 unders the last eight times after losing by 14-plus points.
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Dallas Cowboys Vs Oakland Raiders Live Streaming Week 12 Thursday Night NFL
OAKLAND AT DALLAS
Line: Cowboys -13.5
Over/Under: 40
NFL Betting : Oakland
- Oakland is 5-12 ATS following its past 17 ATS covers and just 1-4 ATS after winning a game straight-up.
- Oakland is 0-5 ATS in their last five games on fieldturf.
- Oakland has 3 overs and 6 unders in the team’s past nine games overall.
- The Raiders have stayed under the total 4-of-5 times on fieldturf.
- Oakland has produced 6 overs and 2 unders following its past eight straight-up wins.
- Oakland has a record of 2 overs, 5 unders and 1 push in its past eight games away from home.
- The Raiders have recorded 3 overs, 7 unders and 1 push when listed as a double-digit road dog.
NFL Betting : Dallas
- Dallas is 7-3 ATS in its past 10 home games overall.
- The Cowboys have a perfect 4-0 ATS in the team’s most recent games on Thursday.
- Dallas is 18-6-2 ATS at home when facing a team with a losing road record.
- Dallas is 1-5 ATS the past six times when being asked to lay double-digits.
- The Cowboys are 1-7 ATS in the games that followed a contest where Dallas held its opponent to 14 points or less.
- After holding a team to 14 points or less the Cowboys have a record of 13 overs, 6 unders and 3 pushes the past 22 times.
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Green Bay Packers AT Detroit Lions Live Streaming Thursday Night Football Week 12
NFL Betting Week 12 :
GREEN BAY AT DETROIT
Line: Packers -10.5
Over/Under: 47.5
- Green Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last five road games at Detroit.
- Green Bay is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games vs. Detroit, including a current run of five-consecutive wins straight-up.
- Green Bay has a 3-7 ATS mark in its past 10 games played on a Thursday.
- The Packers are 3-1 ATS the last four times they have traveled to face a division rival.
- Green Bay’s past 23 road games have produced 15 overs and 8 unders.
- The total has gone over in four of Green Bay's five most recent games vs. Detroit.
- Detroit has a 1-5 ATS record in its most recent Thursday games, all played at home, but note that the lone win was against these Green Bay Packers (2003).
- Detroit is 0-4-1 ATS in its last five games.
- Detroit is 2-23 SU in its last 25 games but note than both straight-up wins were in the past two months.
- Detroit is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 home games overall.
- The Lions last straight-up win against a division rival was Oct. 28, 2007 (0-13 SU).
- The Lions have played 2 overs and 5 unders in their last seven home games.
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Tuesday, November 24, 2009
NFL Power Rankings Week 12
1 (1) Indianapolis Colts (10-0) Can the team go 16-0? Somewhere Mercury Morris is crapping his pants.
2 (2) New Orleans Saints (10-0) Don't believe me that the Saints are among the NFL elite. Listen to Bill Belichick, who said that the Saints are the best team in the NFL. Of course, Belichick may have said that to lull the Saints into a sense of security. Damn you, Belichick! You're so devious.
3 (3) Minnesota Vikings (9-1) Brett Favre for MVP. Uh, no.
4 (5) New England Patriots (7-3) Can we now get past the whole Belichick 4th and 2 call? Football people say it was a bad call; math nerds say it was the right call. We get it.
5 (10) San Diego Chargers (7-3) The Chargers defense needs to stay out of bars and away from Tila Tequila.
6 (4) Cincinnati Bengals (7-3) The Bengals were stymied by the juggernaut that is Bruce Gradkowski.
7 (7) Dallas Cowboys (7-3) Their win over the Redskins felt like a loss.
8 (8) Arizona Cardinals (7-3) That Beanie Wells is coming along nicely.
9 (11) Philadelphia Eagles (6-4) For once, Andy Reid and Donovan McNabb showed they can engineer a fourth-quarter comeback.
10 (6) Pittsburgh Steelers (6-4) The Steelers really need to do something about special teams.
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Thursday, November 19, 2009
NFL Sunday Night Football Betting - Indianapolis Colts Vs. Baltimore Ravens
In the NFL Football betting lines, Few bookies listed the Colts a one-point favorite, with a posted total of 44.5 points.
Here are some NFL football betting trends as they relate to this matchup:
* IND has won its last 18 regular season games SU
* IND has covered five of its last six road games
* IND has won eight of its last nine road games SU
* BALT has covered 17 of its last 23 games
* BALT has won 16 of its last 23 games SU
* BALT has lost four of its last six games SU
* BALT has played four of its last five games UNDER the total
* BALT has won and covered four of its last five home games
* BALT has played six of its last seven home games UNDER the total
Also...
* IND has won the last six meetings SU
* IND has covered the last five meetings
* Five of the last six meetings have gone UNDER the total
* Five of the last seven meetings in Baltimore have gone OVER the total
Last year it got ugly for this Ravens team, when it visited Lucas Oil Stadium. Peyton Manning threw for 258 yards, Joe Flacco threw three interceptions, and the Ravens turned it over five times overall as they were smashed by a 31-3 count.
Certainly they are seeking revenge, and they have favorable scheduling conditions too. Indianapolis Colts is coming off that dramatic 35-34 victory over the Patriots, aided by the bonehead call by Bill Belichick to go for a first down on fourth-and-one from his own 28-yard line.
That was quite a draining game for Manning and the Colts, while on the other side, Baltimore Ravens may have had one eye on this one as it coasted to a 16-0 win over the hapless Browns.
The offense was choppy for the Ravens on Monday night, but it's been part of a pattern. They gained only 274 yards, which makes it three straight games that they have tallied less than 300 yards. That would seem to make it difficult to trade points with the Colts, although interestingly enough, in the yards-per-point category, Indianapolis is at 14.3, while Baltimore has shown itself to actually be more efficient overall, at 14.1.
There was no question that Tom Brady was able to exploit the holes in the Indianapolis secondary, which was missing three of its starters Sunday night due to injury. Brady threw for 375 yards and three scores. Matt Schaub had 311 yards the week before. Is Joe Flacco that capable, and does he have the set of receivers to make it happen? Flacco has thrown for over 300 yards three times this season, though of course, he hasn't done in any of the last three games. There wasn't a lot of sharpness out there against the Browns.
Indianapolis, a team that has pulled off big victories plenty of times in the recent past, and Manning, who is as cool a customer as exists, aren't as likely to suffer the "letdown" as most teams would, especially with an undefeated record and home field advantage in the playoffs well within their sights.
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Tuesday, November 17, 2009
NFL Week 11 Predictions
With the half way mark of NFL season, NFL Week 11 Predictions are right around the corner. This time, sports punters will have fun over NFL Week 11 for their betting prospects.
Week 11 NFL Picks were already depicted and most people believe they were quite interesting and there were controversy too for various reasons. How ever, Week 11 NFL Predictions are here and I’ll be updating you on the upcoming NFL Week Predictions too.
The following are NFL Week 11 Predictions, let's have a look and it would be great if you express your opinions on this:
Carolina 24, Miami 21:
These are two 4-5 teams that seem to play. Comparatively, Panthers are better but Dolphins have ability for big play and they can ameliorate their score.
Pittsburgh 31, Kansas City 17:
Against the Bengals, the Steelers played such a poor game and they will be looking to get back on their path. Despite a win of KC against Oakland, it was still only a win against them.
Detroit 20, Cleveland 13:
Week 11 bums are here.
New Orleans 31, Tampa Bay 10:
For last couple of weeks, Buccaneers have been so competitive but they have not played a defense any where as Saints did.
NY Giants 28, Atlanta 24:
For four straight losses, the bye week will have helped the Giants correct what ever led them. At home, the Falcons have been starring but have struggled on the road.
Jacksonville 24, Buffalo 14:
Statistically, the Bills are really near the bottom of the league. Though Jaguars do not have the best defense but still they can minimum score.
Dallas 31, Washington 17:
The Cowboys will get their offense back, after last week's offensive barbarity against the Packers. Washington has too many fixes for Dallas to feat.
Minnesota 27, Seattle 13:
Last week, on beating the Cardinals, the Seahawks saved their NFL season.
Green Bay 20, San Francisco 13:
The 49ers' defense flew on field by bringing mayhem, but their offense caused dejection. The Packers carry the edge in offensive capability.
Indianapolis 24, Baltimore 16:
The Colts contributed like any thing in their win against the Patriots. They can't go undefeated this season but they won't get their first loss at the hands of the Ravens.
Arizona 31, St. Louis 21:
The strength of Ram’s is their running game. Unfortunately, that is the one strong point on the Cardinals' defense.
New England 23, NY Jets 20:
The Patriots lost to the Colts just because of shocking coaching decision. To prove some thing to their coach, league and to them selves as well, the New England defense is going to come out. Due to Patriot’s ferocity, the Jets will not be ready.
Denver 21, San Diego 17:
Since Week Six, Broncos have lost three straight and the Chargers have won four in a row. A known opponent and an advantage of home field is the only thing in Denver’s favor in this week.
Cincinnati 35, Oakland 9:
The Bengals have been quite dominant and if they can hold off an offensive attack from the Steelers then they will have no problem with the hapless Raiders. Coming to Oakland, they really do not have any idea what's going on with their team.
Philadelphia 27, Chicago 16:
Through out the year, Bears did not beat any powerful team though they won in Week Two. I guess Jay Cutler is the secret weapon for the Eagles.
Tennessee 31, Houston 28:
The Titans have been performing and scoring well. Texans may come out plugging after a bye week but they can also come out flat.
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Sunday, November 15, 2009
NFL Week 10 Power Rating Picks
Following are NFL Power Rating Picks for Week 10:
Side plays were a bust last week but our play on the Monday Night Football game to stay "Under" was a winner and the overall record for the season, including early week and late-plays moved to 24-19 (56 percent). This week we have six plays to consider, including four bets on the Over/Under.
1. Buffalo at Tennessee "Over" 41 : Titans started this season 0-6 SU, took a bye and then came back with a dominant home effort versus Jacksonville. A win at San Francisco has provided some momentum but with a defense ranked last in points allowed, expect both teams to put up some numbers before this game is final.
2. Philadelphia at San Diego "Over" 47 : Philly is 5-0 O/U as an underdog of plus two points or less since October 2003 and four of those overs were in road games. The two most-recent road games were both non-Conference (BAL, KC). RB Westbrook is expected to start. These teams fit into the same power rating profile as the Bills and Titans.
3. Dallas at Green Bay "Under" 48 : The Packers proved unpredictable when they fell to the Buccaneers in Week Nine, but this week, back at home, should get a better effort from the defense. The Cowboys have won three-straight ATS and with a divisional game on-deck (WSH), play-calling should be conservative—a la Wade Phillips.
4. New England, plus three : It’s not surprising that the ratings pointed towards a play on the Patriots considering how high they score on power ranking boards across the nation.Tom Brady getting points is never a bad option.
5. New England at Indianapolis "Over" 48 : Indy’s defense has allowed just one team to score more than 17 points this season (MIA, Wk Two). If there were ever a time for a second, it’s now.
This is the Colts’ third SNF game of the season and fourth prime-time game. Indianapolis is 3-0 SU/ATS through the first three night games and 1-2 O/U but the Colts offense has averaged just a hair less than 30 ppg. It’s the first of the four marquee game Indy gets to play at home.
6. Baltimore -10.5 : The Browns have ratcheted themselves down considerably this year and part of that lies in the hands of management. The rest is on the field and against a Ravens team under the gun to produce wins. It’s hard to see Cleveland keeping pace—no matter who starts at QB.
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Wednesday, November 11, 2009
New England Patriots in the NFL
NFL Predictions - NFL Betting Tips for New England Patriots
The league has clearly been stratified this year—there are the top contenders, and then there's everyone else. We have a bevy of teams that are just plain horrible: the Titans, Browns, Bucs, Chiefs, Rams, Redskins, Raiders, and Lions are all haplessly running out the clock at this point.
Pundits everywhere are decrying the blowouts and questioning what can be done.
Why does this matter to the Patriots? Well, the team has been on the winning side of some awfully lopsided games. Since the team is part of the NFL's current ruling class, it behooves fans to know when guillotine sales go up.
Successful teams should listen very closely whenever there is talk of leveling the playing field.
What complicates matters is the current collective bargaining agreement talks between the NFL and the players' union. This means the league would be ideally positioned to launch a large, system-altering change like the salary cap and free agency.
I believe, though, that a substantial change to the way the league is set up is unlikely.
When you look at the league's changes over the years, they have always intended to right a tangible wrong: free agency took away a team's ability to control a player's career, and the salary cap prevented the sort of payroll disparity we currently see in baseball.
What, then, would be the tangible wrong in today's NFL?
The teams mentioned earlier aren't there because they lack the money to compete, or because players are unavailable. No, those teams are currently losing because they have been mismanaged over several years (with the exception of the Titans, whose downfall this year has been unexpected).
Their personnel staffs have evaluated players incorrectly. Their front offices have signed ill-advised, cap-killing deals. They've likely had a revolving door at the coaching positions, each new one seeking to implement his own system (and consequently resulting in a whole lot of mismatched pieces).
Teams like the Pats, Colts, and Steelers succeed because they evaluate talent well, properly manage their caps, and have stable coaching situations.
How, then, could the problem be fixed? The league doesn't (and shouldn't) have the power to completely reshape noncompeting teams.
The NFL has spent years protecting teams from those factors typically blamed for imbalance, but it has finally found one that cannot be solved easily: organizational incompetence.
Perhaps things are as they should be—well-run teams (like the Pats, Colts, and Steelers) are seeing their foresight rewarded. Poorly-run teams are performing miserably.
Perhaps imbalance is the natural state of things.
That won't stop people from bemoaning 59-0 games, though.
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Tuesday, November 10, 2009
NFL Thursday Night Football: Chicago Bears Vs San Francisco 49ers
Starting this Thursday until the end of the NFL regular season, there will be an extra day of professional football. The first Thursday-nighter will see the Chicago Bears visiting the San Francisco 49ers with the Niners favored by a field goal.
Candlestick has not been kind to the Bears as they are 1-7 straight up and against the spread on the road against San Fran dating back to 1985.
Chicago is also 2-7 ATS in its last nine road games and in its last 10 games when underdogs of 4-points or less, is 3-7-1 ATS.
The Total is set at 43.
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